Premier League · Sat 24 Oct · 15:00 UTC
Chelsea v Liverpool
Final prediction
Liverpool win
40% confidence · likely score 1-1
35%
Chelsea
25%
Draw
40%
Liverpool
Full time 1–0. The pick missed. Predicted result was made before kickoff and is graded as is.
Other markets
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52% · Over
- Both teams to score
- 56% · Yes
- Expected goals
- 1.32 – 1.44
Most likely scorelines
- 1-112.0%
- 0-19.1%
- 1-28.7%
- 1-08.3%
- 2-17.9%
- 0-26.6%
Team profile
TeamAtk / DefLast 5
Chelsea1.15 / 0.95LDLWW
Liverpool1.38 / 0.80DDLLW
Why this prediction
- Chelsea attack index 1.15 meets Liverpool defence index 0.80 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.32 expected goals.
- Liverpool attack index 1.38 meets Chelsea defence index 0.95: 1.44 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Chelsea.
- Form over the last five: Chelsea 7 points, Liverpool 5 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
- The simulation gives 52% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.