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Premier League · Sat 24 Oct · 12:30 UTC

Tottenham v Brighton

Final prediction

Tottenham win

54% confidence · likely score 1-1

54%

Tottenham

23%

Draw

24%

Brighton

Full time 1–1. The pick missed. Predicted result was made before kickoff and is graded as is.

Other markets

Over 2.5 goals
59% · Over
Both teams to score
59% · Yes
Expected goals
1.87 – 1.18

Most likely scorelines

  • 1-110.4%
  • 2-19.8%
  • 1-08.9%
  • 2-08.3%
  • 1-26.2%
  • 3-16.1%

Team profile

TeamAtk / DefLast 5 Tottenham1.18 / 1.05WWLWD Brighton1.00 / 1.05DDWLD

Why this prediction

  • Tottenham attack index 1.18 meets Brighton defence index 1.05 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.87 expected goals.
  • Brighton attack index 1.00 meets Tottenham defence index 1.05: 1.18 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Tottenham.
  • Form over the last five: Tottenham 10 points, Brighton 6 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
  • The simulation gives 59% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.