La Liga · Sat 24 Oct · 18:45 UTC
Real Madrid v Athletic Club
Final prediction
Real Madrid win
60% confidence · likely score 1-0
60%
Real Madrid
22%
Draw
17%
Athletic Club
Full time 1–0. The pick landed. Predicted result was made before kickoff and is graded as is.
Other markets
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52% · Over
- Both teams to score
- 50% · No
- Expected goals
- 1.85 – 0.88
Most likely scorelines
- 1-012.0%
- 2-011.1%
- 1-110.6%
- 2-19.8%
- 3-06.9%
- 0-06.5%
Team profile
TeamAtk / DefLast 5
Real Madrid1.40 / 0.75WLWWW
Athletic Club1.00 / 0.85WWLLW
Why this prediction
- Real Madrid attack index 1.40 meets Athletic Club defence index 0.85 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.85 expected goals.
- Athletic Club attack index 1.00 meets Real Madrid defence index 0.75: 0.88 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Real Madrid.
- Form over the last five: Real Madrid 12 points, Athletic Club 9 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
- The simulation gives 52% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.