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La Liga · Sat 24 Oct · 20:00 UTC

Villarreal v Real Sociedad

Final prediction

Villarreal win

38% confidence · likely score 1-1

38%

Villarreal

27%

Draw

35%

Real Sociedad

Full time 0–1. The pick missed. Predicted result was made before kickoff and is graded as is.

Other markets

Over 2.5 goals
47% · Under
Both teams to score
52% · Yes
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.23

Most likely scorelines

  • 1-112.7%
  • 1-010.3%
  • 0-19.7%
  • 2-18.3%
  • 0-07.9%
  • 1-27.8%

Team profile

TeamAtk / DefLast 5 Villarreal1.05 / 1.10LLWWL Real Sociedad0.98 / 0.88LWLWD

Why this prediction

  • Villarreal attack index 1.05 meets Real Sociedad defence index 0.88 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.31 expected goals.
  • Real Sociedad attack index 0.98 meets Villarreal defence index 1.10: 1.23 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Villarreal.
  • Form over the last five: Villarreal 6 points, Real Sociedad 7 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
  • The simulation gives 47% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.