PitchLedger
← Back to Sat 24 Oct

La Liga · Sat 24 Oct · 15:00 UTC

Real Betis v Atlético Madrid

Final prediction

Atlético Madrid win

43% confidence · likely score 0-1

28%

Real Betis

29%

Draw

43%

Atlético Madrid

Full time 1–3. The pick landed. Predicted result was made before kickoff and is graded as is.

Other markets

Over 2.5 goals
38% · Under
Both teams to score
44% · No
Expected goals
0.95 – 1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 0-113.9%
  • 1-113.1%
  • 0-011.1%
  • 1-010.5%
  • 0-28.7%
  • 1-28.2%

Team profile

TeamAtk / DefLast 5 Real Betis0.98 / 1.00LWLLL Atlético Madrid1.10 / 0.72WLLDW

Why this prediction

  • Real Betis attack index 0.98 meets Atlético Madrid defence index 0.72 (higher means more goals conceded): 0.95 expected goals.
  • Atlético Madrid attack index 1.10 meets Real Betis defence index 1.00: 1.25 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Real Betis.
  • Form over the last five: Real Betis 3 points, Atlético Madrid 7 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
  • The simulation gives 38% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.