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Serie A · Sat 24 Oct · 15:00 UTC

Roma v AC Milan

Final prediction

Draw

28% confidence · likely score 1-1

36%

Roma

28%

Draw

36%

AC Milan

Full time 0–1. The pick missed. Predicted result was made before kickoff and is graded as is.

Other markets

Over 2.5 goals
43% · Under
Both teams to score
49% · No
Expected goals
1.20 – 1.19

Most likely scorelines

  • 1-113.1%
  • 1-011.0%
  • 0-110.9%
  • 0-09.2%
  • 2-17.9%
  • 1-27.8%

Team profile

TeamAtk / DefLast 5 Roma1.00 / 0.90LLWLD AC Milan1.12 / 0.88LWLWW

Why this prediction

  • Roma attack index 1.00 meets AC Milan defence index 0.88 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.20 expected goals.
  • AC Milan attack index 1.12 meets Roma defence index 0.90: 1.19 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Roma.
  • Form over the last five: Roma 4 points, AC Milan 9 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
  • The simulation gives 43% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.