PitchLedger
← Back to Sat 24 Oct

Serie A · Sat 24 Oct · 15:00 UTC

Lazio v Juventus

Final prediction

Draw

29% confidence · likely score 1-1

35%

Lazio

29%

Draw

36%

Juventus

Full time 2–1. The pick missed. Predicted result was made before kickoff and is graded as is.

Other markets

Over 2.5 goals
38% · Under
Both teams to score
45% · No
Expected goals
1.10 – 1.12

Most likely scorelines

  • 1-113.4%
  • 0-112.2%
  • 1-012.0%
  • 0-010.9%
  • 1-27.5%
  • 2-17.4%

Team profile

TeamAtk / DefLast 5 Lazio1.02 / 0.95LWDWL Juventus1.05 / 0.75LDDWD

Why this prediction

  • Lazio attack index 1.02 meets Juventus defence index 0.75 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.10 expected goals.
  • Juventus attack index 1.05 meets Lazio defence index 0.95: 1.12 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Lazio.
  • Form over the last five: Lazio 7 points, Juventus 6 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
  • The simulation gives 38% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.