Bundesliga · Sat 24 Oct · 15:00 UTC
RB Leipzig v Borussia Dortmund
Final prediction
RB Leipzig win
50% confidence · likely score 1-1
50%
RB Leipzig
22%
Draw
28%
Borussia Dortmund
Full time 2–2. The pick missed. Predicted result was made before kickoff and is graded as is.
Other markets
- Over 2.5 goals
- 65% · Over
- Both teams to score
- 65% · Yes
- Expected goals
- 1.95 – 1.42
Most likely scorelines
- 1-19.5%
- 2-19.3%
- 1-26.8%
- 1-06.7%
- 2-26.6%
- 2-06.5%
Team profile
TeamAtk / DefLast 5
RB Leipzig1.25 / 0.90WWWWL
Borussia Dortmund1.30 / 1.00WDWDW
Why this prediction
- RB Leipzig attack index 1.25 meets Borussia Dortmund defence index 1.00 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.95 expected goals.
- Borussia Dortmund attack index 1.30 meets RB Leipzig defence index 0.90: 1.42 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for RB Leipzig.
- Form over the last five: RB Leipzig 12 points, Borussia Dortmund 11 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
- The simulation gives 65% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.