PitchLedger
← Back to Sat 24 Oct

Ligue 1 · Sat 24 Oct · 20:00 UTC

Monaco v Nice

Final prediction

Monaco win

48% confidence · likely score 1-0

48%

Monaco

26%

Draw

25%

Nice

Full time 1–1. The pick missed. Predicted result was made before kickoff and is graded as is.

Other markets

Over 2.5 goals
44% · Under
Both teams to score
48% · No
Expected goals
1.47 – 0.98

Most likely scorelines

  • 1-012.7%
  • 1-112.4%
  • 2-09.3%
  • 2-19.1%
  • 0-08.7%
  • 0-18.5%

Team profile

TeamAtk / DefLast 5 Monaco1.20 / 0.95WLLDW Nice0.95 / 0.85WDLLL

Why this prediction

  • Monaco attack index 1.20 meets Nice defence index 0.85 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.47 expected goals.
  • Nice attack index 0.95 meets Monaco defence index 0.95: 0.98 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Monaco.
  • Form over the last five: Monaco 7 points, Nice 4 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
  • The simulation gives 44% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.