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Ligue 1 · Sat 24 Oct · 17:30 UTC

Lille v Rennes

Final prediction

Lille win

52% confidence · likely score 1-0

52%

Lille

26%

Draw

22%

Rennes

Full time 0–1. The pick missed. Predicted result was made before kickoff and is graded as is.

Other markets

Over 2.5 goals
42% · Under
Both teams to score
45% · No
Expected goals
1.51 – 0.87

Most likely scorelines

  • 1-013.9%
  • 1-112.2%
  • 2-010.5%
  • 0-09.3%
  • 2-19.2%
  • 0-18.1%

Team profile

TeamAtk / DefLast 5 Lille1.05 / 0.82LLWDL Rennes1.02 / 1.05LLDLD

Why this prediction

  • Lille attack index 1.05 meets Rennes defence index 1.05 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.51 expected goals.
  • Rennes attack index 1.02 meets Lille defence index 0.82: 0.87 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Lille.
  • Form over the last five: Lille 4 points, Rennes 2 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
  • The simulation gives 42% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.