Ligue 1 · Sat 24 Oct · 20:00 UTC
Lens v Lyon
Final prediction
Lens win
43% confidence · likely score 1-1
43%
Lens
26%
Draw
32%
Lyon
Full time 2–0. The pick landed. Predicted result was made before kickoff and is graded as is.
Other markets
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50% · Over
- Both teams to score
- 54% · Yes
- Expected goals
- 1.46 – 1.22
Most likely scorelines
- 1-112.2%
- 1-010.0%
- 2-18.9%
- 0-18.3%
- 1-27.5%
- 2-07.3%
Team profile
TeamAtk / DefLast 5
Lens1.00 / 0.90DWDLW
Lyon1.10 / 1.00WWWLW
Why this prediction
- Lens attack index 1.00 meets Lyon defence index 1.00 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.46 expected goals.
- Lyon attack index 1.10 meets Lens defence index 0.90: 1.22 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Lens.
- Form over the last five: Lens 8 points, Lyon 12 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
- The simulation gives 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.