Premier League · Sun 25 Oct · 15:00 UTC
Chelsea v Arsenal
Final prediction
Arsenal win
45% confidence · likely score 1-1
30%
Chelsea
26%
Draw
45%
Arsenal
Kicks off at 15:00 UTC. The result will be graded in the record.
Other markets
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49% · Under
- Both teams to score
- 53% · Yes
- Expected goals
- 1.16 – 1.49
Most likely scorelines
- 1-112.2%
- 0-110.6%
- 1-29.1%
- 1-08.2%
- 0-27.9%
- 0-07.1%
Team profile
TeamAtk / DefLast 5
Chelsea1.15 / 0.95WLDLW
Arsenal1.35 / 0.70DWWLD
Why this prediction
- Chelsea attack index 1.15 meets Arsenal defence index 0.70 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.16 expected goals.
- Arsenal attack index 1.35 meets Chelsea defence index 0.95: 1.49 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Chelsea.
- Form over the last five: Chelsea 7 points, Arsenal 8 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
- The simulation gives 49% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.