Premier League · Sun 25 Oct · 18:45 UTC
Brighton v Newcastle
Final prediction
Brighton win
38% confidence · likely score 1-1
38%
Brighton
27%
Draw
35%
Newcastle
Kicks off at 18:45 UTC. The result will be graded in the record.
Other markets
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46% · Under
- Both teams to score
- 51% · Yes
- Expected goals
- 1.27 – 1.23
Most likely scorelines
- 1-112.8%
- 1-010.4%
- 0-110.1%
- 0-08.2%
- 2-18.2%
- 1-27.9%
Team profile
TeamAtk / DefLast 5
Brighton1.00 / 1.05DDDWL
Newcastle1.10 / 0.90DDLDL
Why this prediction
- Brighton attack index 1.00 meets Newcastle defence index 0.90 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.27 expected goals.
- Newcastle attack index 1.10 meets Brighton defence index 1.05: 1.23 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Brighton.
- Form over the last five: Brighton 6 points, Newcastle 3 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
- The simulation gives 46% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.