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La Liga · Sun 25 Oct · 20:45 UTC

Villarreal v Real Sociedad

Final prediction

Villarreal win

38% confidence · likely score 1-1

38%

Villarreal

27%

Draw

36%

Real Sociedad

Kicks off at 20:45 UTC. The result will be graded in the record.

Other markets

Over 2.5 goals
48% · Under
Both teams to score
52% · Yes
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.27

Most likely scorelines

  • 1-112.6%
  • 1-09.9%
  • 0-19.7%
  • 2-18.2%
  • 1-28.0%
  • 0-07.6%

Team profile

TeamAtk / DefLast 5 Villarreal1.05 / 1.10LLLWW Real Sociedad0.98 / 0.88WLWLW

Why this prediction

  • Villarreal attack index 1.05 meets Real Sociedad defence index 0.88 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.31 expected goals.
  • Real Sociedad attack index 0.98 meets Villarreal defence index 1.10: 1.27 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Villarreal.
  • Form over the last five: Villarreal 6 points, Real Sociedad 9 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
  • The simulation gives 48% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.