La Liga · Sun 25 Oct · 18:45 UTC
Atlético Madrid v Sevilla
Final prediction
Atlético Madrid win
58% confidence · likely score 1-0
58%
Atlético Madrid
25%
Draw
17%
Sevilla
Kicks off at 18:45 UTC. The result will be graded in the record.
Other markets
- Over 2.5 goals
- 40% · Under
- Both teams to score
- 41% · No
- Expected goals
- 1.58 – 0.72
Most likely scorelines
- 1-015.9%
- 2-012.6%
- 1-111.4%
- 0-010.0%
- 2-19.0%
- 0-17.2%
Team profile
TeamAtk / DefLast 5
Atlético Madrid1.10 / 0.72WWLLD
Sevilla0.92 / 1.00LLLWD
Why this prediction
- Atlético Madrid attack index 1.10 meets Sevilla defence index 1.00 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.58 expected goals.
- Sevilla attack index 0.92 meets Atlético Madrid defence index 0.72: 0.72 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Atlético Madrid.
- Form over the last five: Atlético Madrid 7 points, Sevilla 4 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
- The simulation gives 40% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.