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La Liga · Sun 25 Oct · 15:00 UTC

Athletic Club v Barcelona

Final prediction

Barcelona win

45% confidence · likely score 1-1

29%

Athletic Club

26%

Draw

45%

Barcelona

Kicks off at 15:00 UTC. The result will be graded in the record.

Other markets

Over 2.5 goals
49% · Under
Both teams to score
53% · Yes
Expected goals
1.16 – 1.49

Most likely scorelines

  • 1-112.2%
  • 0-110.5%
  • 1-29.1%
  • 1-08.2%
  • 0-27.9%
  • 2-17.1%

Team profile

TeamAtk / DefLast 5 Athletic Club1.00 / 0.85LWWLL Barcelona1.42 / 0.82WWLWW

Why this prediction

  • Athletic Club attack index 1.00 meets Barcelona defence index 0.82 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.16 expected goals.
  • Barcelona attack index 1.42 meets Athletic Club defence index 0.85: 1.49 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Athletic Club.
  • Form over the last five: Athletic Club 6 points, Barcelona 12 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
  • The simulation gives 49% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.