Serie A · Sun 25 Oct · 18:45 UTC
Lazio v Roma
Final prediction
Lazio win
46% confidence · likely score 1-1
46%
Lazio
27%
Draw
27%
Roma
Kicks off at 18:45 UTC. The result will be graded in the record.
Other markets
- Over 2.5 goals
- 43% · Under
- Both teams to score
- 48% · No
- Expected goals
- 1.39 – 1.01
Most likely scorelines
- 1-112.7%
- 1-012.6%
- 0-19.2%
- 0-09.1%
- 2-18.8%
- 2-08.7%
Team profile
TeamAtk / DefLast 5
Lazio1.02 / 0.95WLWDW
Roma1.00 / 0.90LLLWL
Why this prediction
- Lazio attack index 1.02 meets Roma defence index 0.90 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.39 expected goals.
- Roma attack index 1.00 meets Lazio defence index 0.95: 1.01 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Lazio.
- Form over the last five: Lazio 10 points, Roma 3 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
- The simulation gives 43% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.