Serie A · Sun 25 Oct · 20:00 UTC
Napoli v AC Milan
Final prediction
Napoli win
49% confidence · likely score 1-1
49%
Napoli
25%
Draw
26%
AC Milan
Kicks off at 20:00 UTC. The result will be graded in the record.
Other markets
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49% · Under
- Both teams to score
- 52% · Yes
- Expected goals
- 1.57 – 1.06
Most likely scorelines
- 1-112.0%
- 1-011.4%
- 2-19.4%
- 2-08.9%
- 0-17.6%
- 0-07.2%
Team profile
TeamAtk / DefLast 5
Napoli1.20 / 0.80WLWWL
AC Milan1.12 / 0.88WLWLW
Why this prediction
- Napoli attack index 1.20 meets AC Milan defence index 0.88 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.57 expected goals.
- AC Milan attack index 1.12 meets Napoli defence index 0.80: 1.06 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Napoli.
- Form over the last five: Napoli 9 points, AC Milan 9 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
- The simulation gives 49% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.