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Bundesliga · Sun 25 Oct · 18:45 UTC

Bayern Munich v Freiburg

Final prediction

Bayern Munich win

68% confidence · likely score 2-0

68%

Bayern Munich

19%

Draw

13%

Freiburg

Kicks off at 18:45 UTC. The result will be graded in the record.

Other markets

Over 2.5 goals
55% · Over
Both teams to score
47% · No
Expected goals
2.10 – 0.77

Most likely scorelines

  • 2-012.4%
  • 1-011.8%
  • 2-19.6%
  • 1-19.2%
  • 3-08.7%
  • 3-16.8%

Team profile

TeamAtk / DefLast 5 Bayern Munich1.60 / 0.78LDLDD Freiburg0.95 / 0.98LLDDL

Why this prediction

  • Bayern Munich attack index 1.60 meets Freiburg defence index 0.98 (higher means more goals conceded): 2.10 expected goals.
  • Freiburg attack index 0.95 meets Bayern Munich defence index 0.78: 0.77 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Bayern Munich.
  • Form over the last five: Bayern Munich 3 points, Freiburg 2 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
  • The simulation gives 55% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.