Bundesliga · Sun 25 Oct · 15:00 UTC
RB Leipzig v Borussia Dortmund
Final prediction
RB Leipzig win
51% confidence · likely score 1-1
51%
RB Leipzig
22%
Draw
27%
Borussia Dortmund
Kicks off at 15:00 UTC. The result will be graded in the record.
Other markets
- Over 2.5 goals
- 65% · Over
- Both teams to score
- 64% · Yes
- Expected goals
- 1.98 – 1.38
Most likely scorelines
- 1-19.5%
- 2-19.4%
- 1-06.9%
- 2-06.8%
- 1-26.6%
- 2-26.5%
Team profile
TeamAtk / DefLast 5
RB Leipzig1.25 / 0.90DWWWW
Borussia Dortmund1.30 / 1.00DWDWD
Why this prediction
- RB Leipzig attack index 1.25 meets Borussia Dortmund defence index 1.00 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.98 expected goals.
- Borussia Dortmund attack index 1.30 meets RB Leipzig defence index 0.90: 1.38 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for RB Leipzig.
- Form over the last five: RB Leipzig 13 points, Borussia Dortmund 9 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
- The simulation gives 65% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.