Ligue 1 · Sun 25 Oct · 18:45 UTC
Lyon v Marseille
Final prediction
Lyon win
42% confidence · likely score 1-1
42%
Lyon
25%
Draw
34%
Marseille
Kicks off at 18:45 UTC. The result will be graded in the record.
Other markets
- Over 2.5 goals
- 56% · Over
- Both teams to score
- 59% · Yes
- Expected goals
- 1.55 – 1.38
Most likely scorelines
- 1-111.4%
- 2-18.9%
- 1-08.3%
- 1-27.9%
- 0-17.4%
- 2-06.4%
Team profile
TeamAtk / DefLast 5
Lyon1.10 / 1.00LWWWL
Marseille1.15 / 0.95LWDWW
Why this prediction
- Lyon attack index 1.10 meets Marseille defence index 0.95 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.55 expected goals.
- Marseille attack index 1.15 meets Lyon defence index 1.00: 1.38 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Lyon.
- Form over the last five: Lyon 9 points, Marseille 10 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
- The simulation gives 56% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.