Ligue 1 · Sun 25 Oct · 15:00 UTC
Paris Saint-Germain v Lille
Final prediction
Paris Saint-Germain win
60% confidence · likely score 1-0
60%
Paris Saint-Germain
23%
Draw
17%
Lille
Kicks off at 15:00 UTC. The result will be graded in the record.
Other markets
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46% · Under
- Both teams to score
- 45% · No
- Expected goals
- 1.74 – 0.80
Most likely scorelines
- 1-013.8%
- 2-012.0%
- 1-111.0%
- 2-19.5%
- 0-07.9%
- 3-06.9%
Team profile
TeamAtk / DefLast 5
Paris Saint-Germain1.50 / 0.70DLWDD
Lille1.05 / 0.82LLLWD
Why this prediction
- Paris Saint-Germain attack index 1.50 meets Lille defence index 0.82 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.74 expected goals.
- Lille attack index 1.05 meets Paris Saint-Germain defence index 0.70: 0.80 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Paris Saint-Germain.
- Form over the last five: Paris Saint-Germain 6 points, Lille 4 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
- The simulation gives 46% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.