Premier League · Mon 26 Oct · 12:30 UTC
Aston Villa v Newcastle
Final prediction
Aston Villa win
40% confidence · likely score 1-1
40%
Aston Villa
28%
Draw
32%
Newcastle
Kicks off at 12:30 UTC. The result will be graded in the record.
Other markets
- Over 2.5 goals
- 42% · Under
- Both teams to score
- 48% · No
- Expected goals
- 1.27 – 1.11
Most likely scorelines
- 1-113.1%
- 1-011.7%
- 0-110.3%
- 0-09.3%
- 2-18.3%
- 2-07.4%
Team profile
TeamAtk / DefLast 5
Aston Villa1.05 / 0.95LWLLL
Newcastle1.10 / 0.90DDLDL
Why this prediction
- Aston Villa attack index 1.05 meets Newcastle defence index 0.90 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.27 expected goals.
- Newcastle attack index 1.10 meets Aston Villa defence index 0.95: 1.11 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Aston Villa.
- Form over the last five: Aston Villa 3 points, Newcastle 3 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
- The simulation gives 42% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.