PitchLedger
← Back to Mon 26 Oct

La Liga · Mon 26 Oct · 20:00 UTC

Real Sociedad v Barcelona

Final prediction

Barcelona win

45% confidence · likely score 1-1

29%

Real Sociedad

25%

Draw

45%

Barcelona

Kicks off at 20:00 UTC. The result will be graded in the record.

Other markets

Over 2.5 goals
52% · Over
Both teams to score
55% · Yes
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.54

Most likely scorelines

  • 1-111.9%
  • 0-110.0%
  • 1-29.2%
  • 1-07.7%
  • 0-27.7%
  • 2-17.1%

Team profile

TeamAtk / DefLast 5 Real Sociedad0.98 / 0.88WLWLW Barcelona1.42 / 0.82WWLWW

Why this prediction

  • Real Sociedad attack index 0.98 meets Barcelona defence index 0.82 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.19 expected goals.
  • Barcelona attack index 1.42 meets Real Sociedad defence index 0.88: 1.54 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Real Sociedad.
  • Form over the last five: Real Sociedad 9 points, Barcelona 12 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
  • The simulation gives 52% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.