La Liga · Mon 26 Oct · 15:00 UTC
Atlético Madrid v Villarreal
Final prediction
Atlético Madrid win
59% confidence · likely score 1-0
59%
Atlético Madrid
23%
Draw
18%
Villarreal
Kicks off at 15:00 UTC. The result will be graded in the record.
Other markets
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48% · Under
- Both teams to score
- 47% · No
- Expected goals
- 1.74 – 0.85
Most likely scorelines
- 1-013.1%
- 2-011.4%
- 1-111.1%
- 2-19.6%
- 0-07.5%
- 3-06.6%
Team profile
TeamAtk / DefLast 5
Atlético Madrid1.10 / 0.72WWLLD
Villarreal1.05 / 1.10LLLWW
Why this prediction
- Atlético Madrid attack index 1.10 meets Villarreal defence index 1.10 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.74 expected goals.
- Villarreal attack index 1.05 meets Atlético Madrid defence index 0.72: 0.85 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Atlético Madrid.
- Form over the last five: Atlético Madrid 7 points, Villarreal 6 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
- The simulation gives 48% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.