Serie A · Mon 26 Oct · 12:30 UTC
Napoli v Atalanta
Final prediction
Napoli win
49% confidence · likely score 1-1
49%
Napoli
24%
Draw
27%
Atalanta
Kicks off at 12:30 UTC. The result will be graded in the record.
Other markets
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55% · Over
- Both teams to score
- 57% · Yes
- Expected goals
- 1.69 – 1.19
Most likely scorelines
- 1-111.3%
- 2-19.6%
- 1-09.5%
- 2-08.1%
- 1-26.7%
- 0-16.7%
Team profile
TeamAtk / DefLast 5
Napoli1.20 / 0.80WLWWL
Atalanta1.30 / 0.95WLWDL
Why this prediction
- Napoli attack index 1.20 meets Atalanta defence index 0.95 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.69 expected goals.
- Atalanta attack index 1.30 meets Napoli defence index 0.80: 1.19 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Napoli.
- Form over the last five: Napoli 9 points, Atalanta 7 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
- The simulation gives 55% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.