Bundesliga · Mon 26 Oct · 18:45 UTC
RB Leipzig v Bayer Leverkusen
Final prediction
RB Leipzig win
43% confidence · likely score 1-1
43%
RB Leipzig
24%
Draw
33%
Bayer Leverkusen
Kicks off at 18:45 UTC. The result will be graded in the record.
Other markets
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58% · Over
- Both teams to score
- 60% · Yes
- Expected goals
- 1.62 – 1.39
Most likely scorelines
- 1-111.1%
- 2-19.0%
- 1-08.0%
- 1-27.7%
- 0-16.8%
- 2-06.5%
Team profile
TeamAtk / DefLast 5
RB Leipzig1.25 / 0.90DWWWW
Bayer Leverkusen1.40 / 0.82WLDLD
Why this prediction
- RB Leipzig attack index 1.25 meets Bayer Leverkusen defence index 0.82 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.62 expected goals.
- Bayer Leverkusen attack index 1.40 meets RB Leipzig defence index 0.90: 1.39 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for RB Leipzig.
- Form over the last five: RB Leipzig 13 points, Bayer Leverkusen 5 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
- The simulation gives 58% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.