Eredivisie · Sat 24 Oct · 18:45 UTC
Ajax v Heerenveen
Final prediction
Ajax win
61% confidence · likely score 1-0
61%
Ajax
21%
Draw
18%
Heerenveen
Full time 1–1. The pick missed. Predicted result was made before kickoff and is graded as is.
Other markets
- Over 2.5 goals
- 56% · Over
- Both teams to score
- 53% · Yes
- Expected goals
- 1.98 – 0.96
Most likely scorelines
- 1-010.5%
- 2-010.4%
- 1-110.1%
- 2-19.9%
- 3-06.8%
- 3-16.6%
Team profile
TeamAtk / DefLast 5
Ajax1.25 / 0.90LLLWW
Heerenveen0.95 / 1.12LLLWW
Why this prediction
- Ajax attack index 1.25 meets Heerenveen defence index 1.12 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.98 expected goals.
- Heerenveen attack index 0.95 meets Ajax defence index 0.90: 0.96 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Ajax.
- Form over the last five: Ajax 6 points, Heerenveen 6 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
- The simulation gives 56% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.