PitchLedger
← Back to Sat 24 Oct

Eredivisie · Sat 24 Oct · 15:00 UTC

PSV Eindhoven v Utrecht

Final prediction

PSV Eindhoven win

66% confidence · likely score 2-0

66%

PSV Eindhoven

20%

Draw

14%

Utrecht

Full time 1–0. The pick landed. Predicted result was made before kickoff and is graded as is.

Other markets

Over 2.5 goals
58% · Over
Both teams to score
51% · Yes
Expected goals
2.12 – 0.87

Most likely scorelines

  • 2-011.2%
  • 1-010.6%
  • 2-19.8%
  • 1-19.3%
  • 3-08.0%
  • 3-17.0%

Team profile

TeamAtk / DefLast 5 PSV Eindhoven1.50 / 0.78LWLLW Utrecht1.00 / 1.00WLLWL

Why this prediction

  • PSV Eindhoven attack index 1.50 meets Utrecht defence index 1.00 (higher means more goals conceded): 2.12 expected goals.
  • Utrecht attack index 1.00 meets PSV Eindhoven defence index 0.78: 0.87 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for PSV Eindhoven.
  • Form over the last five: PSV Eindhoven 6 points, Utrecht 6 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
  • The simulation gives 58% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.