Eredivisie · Sat 24 Oct · 18:45 UTC
AZ Alkmaar v FC Twente
Final prediction
AZ Alkmaar win
48% confidence · likely score 1-1
48%
AZ Alkmaar
25%
Draw
27%
FC Twente
Full time 0–2. The pick missed. Predicted result was made before kickoff and is graded as is.
Other markets
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53% · Over
- Both teams to score
- 55% · Yes
- Expected goals
- 1.63 – 1.16
Most likely scorelines
- 1-111.6%
- 1-010.0%
- 2-19.5%
- 2-08.2%
- 0-17.1%
- 1-26.7%
Team profile
TeamAtk / DefLast 5
AZ Alkmaar1.10 / 0.92WWWLW
FC Twente1.05 / 0.95WWDLW
Why this prediction
- AZ Alkmaar attack index 1.10 meets FC Twente defence index 0.95 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.63 expected goals.
- FC Twente attack index 1.05 meets AZ Alkmaar defence index 0.92: 1.16 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for AZ Alkmaar.
- Form over the last five: AZ Alkmaar 12 points, FC Twente 10 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
- The simulation gives 53% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.