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Primeira Liga · Sat 24 Oct · 18:45 UTC

Porto v Braga

Final prediction

Porto win

53% confidence · likely score 1-1

53%

Porto

24%

Draw

23%

Braga

Full time 2–0. The pick landed. Predicted result was made before kickoff and is graded as is.

Other markets

Over 2.5 goals
51% · Over
Both teams to score
52% · Yes
Expected goals
1.68 – 1.03

Most likely scorelines

  • 1-111.5%
  • 1-011.1%
  • 2-19.7%
  • 2-09.4%
  • 0-16.8%
  • 0-06.6%

Team profile

TeamAtk / DefLast 5 Porto1.30 / 0.75LWDWL Braga1.15 / 0.90LDWWW

Why this prediction

  • Porto attack index 1.30 meets Braga defence index 0.90 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.68 expected goals.
  • Braga attack index 1.15 meets Porto defence index 0.75: 1.03 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Porto.
  • Form over the last five: Porto 7 points, Braga 10 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
  • The simulation gives 51% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.