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Primeira Liga · Sat 24 Oct · 20:00 UTC

Gil Vicente v Famalicão

Final prediction

Draw

28% confidence · likely score 1-1

37%

Gil Vicente

28%

Draw

34%

Famalicão

Full time 2–3. The pick missed. Predicted result was made before kickoff and is graded as is.

Other markets

Over 2.5 goals
41% · Under
Both teams to score
47% · No
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.12

Most likely scorelines

  • 1-113.2%
  • 1-011.8%
  • 0-111.2%
  • 0-010.0%
  • 2-17.9%
  • 1-27.4%

Team profile

TeamAtk / DefLast 5 Gil Vicente0.90 / 1.05LDLLL Famalicão0.92 / 1.02WLDDW

Why this prediction

  • Gil Vicente attack index 0.90 meets Famalicão defence index 1.02 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.19 expected goals.
  • Famalicão attack index 0.92 meets Gil Vicente defence index 1.05: 1.12 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Gil Vicente.
  • Form over the last five: Gil Vicente 1 points, Famalicão 8 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
  • The simulation gives 41% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.