PitchLedger
← Back to Sat 24 Oct

Championship · Sat 24 Oct · 20:45 UTC

Watford v Norwich City

Final prediction

Watford win

43% confidence · likely score 1-1

43%

Watford

25%

Draw

32%

Norwich City

Full time 1–3. The pick missed. Predicted result was made before kickoff and is graded as is.

Other markets

Over 2.5 goals
53% · Over
Both teams to score
56% · Yes
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.28

Most likely scorelines

  • 1-111.8%
  • 1-09.2%
  • 2-19.0%
  • 0-17.7%
  • 1-27.6%
  • 2-07.0%

Team profile

TeamAtk / DefLast 5 Watford0.95 / 1.05DWDDW Norwich City1.05 / 1.08DWDWL

Why this prediction

  • Watford attack index 0.95 meets Norwich City defence index 1.08 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.52 expected goals.
  • Norwich City attack index 1.05 meets Watford defence index 1.05: 1.28 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Watford.
  • Form over the last five: Watford 9 points, Norwich City 8 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
  • The simulation gives 53% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.