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Championship · Sat 24 Oct · 20:45 UTC

Leeds United v Millwall

Final prediction

Leeds United win

54% confidence · likely score 1-0

54%

Leeds United

25%

Draw

21%

Millwall

Full time 2–0. The pick landed. Predicted result was made before kickoff and is graded as is.

Other markets

Over 2.5 goals
44% · Under
Both teams to score
46% · No
Expected goals
1.56 – 0.87

Most likely scorelines

  • 1-013.8%
  • 1-111.9%
  • 2-010.7%
  • 2-19.3%
  • 0-08.8%
  • 0-17.7%

Team profile

TeamAtk / DefLast 5 Leeds United1.20 / 0.85WLWLL Millwall0.88 / 0.92WDWLD

Why this prediction

  • Leeds United attack index 1.20 meets Millwall defence index 0.92 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.56 expected goals.
  • Millwall attack index 0.88 meets Leeds United defence index 0.85: 0.87 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Leeds United.
  • Form over the last five: Leeds United 6 points, Millwall 8 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
  • The simulation gives 44% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.