Eredivisie · Sun 25 Oct · 15:00 UTC
Ajax v Heerenveen
Final prediction
Ajax win
60% confidence · likely score 1-0
60%
Ajax
22%
Draw
18%
Heerenveen
Kicks off at 15:00 UTC. The result will be graded in the record.
Other markets
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54% · Over
- Both teams to score
- 51% · Yes
- Expected goals
- 1.91 – 0.93
Most likely scorelines
- 1-011.2%
- 2-010.7%
- 1-110.4%
- 2-19.9%
- 3-06.8%
- 3-16.3%
Team profile
TeamAtk / DefLast 5
Ajax1.25 / 0.90DLLLW
Heerenveen0.95 / 1.12DLLLW
Why this prediction
- Ajax attack index 1.25 meets Heerenveen defence index 1.12 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.91 expected goals.
- Heerenveen attack index 0.95 meets Ajax defence index 0.90: 0.93 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Ajax.
- Form over the last five: Ajax 4 points, Heerenveen 4 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
- The simulation gives 54% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.