Eredivisie · Sun 25 Oct · 20:00 UTC
Utrecht v AZ Alkmaar
Final prediction
Utrecht win
37% confidence · likely score 1-1
37%
Utrecht
26%
Draw
37%
AZ Alkmaar
Kicks off at 20:00 UTC. The result will be graded in the record.
Other markets
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48% · Under
- Both teams to score
- 53% · Yes
- Expected goals
- 1.30 – 1.30
Most likely scorelines
- 1-112.6%
- 1-09.7%
- 0-19.7%
- 2-18.2%
- 1-28.1%
- 0-07.4%
Team profile
TeamAtk / DefLast 5
Utrecht1.00 / 1.00LWLLW
AZ Alkmaar1.10 / 0.92LWWWL
Why this prediction
- Utrecht attack index 1.00 meets AZ Alkmaar defence index 0.92 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.30 expected goals.
- AZ Alkmaar attack index 1.10 meets Utrecht defence index 1.00: 1.30 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Utrecht.
- Form over the last five: Utrecht 6 points, AZ Alkmaar 9 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
- The simulation gives 48% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.