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Championship · Sun 25 Oct · 15:00 UTC

Burnley v Millwall

Final prediction

Burnley win

47% confidence · likely score 1-0

47%

Burnley

29%

Draw

24%

Millwall

Kicks off at 15:00 UTC. The result will be graded in the record.

Other markets

Over 2.5 goals
34% · Under
Both teams to score
39% · No
Expected goals
1.26 – 0.80

Most likely scorelines

  • 1-016.0%
  • 1-112.9%
  • 0-012.8%
  • 0-110.2%
  • 2-010.1%
  • 2-18.1%

Team profile

TeamAtk / DefLast 5 Burnley0.95 / 0.80DDWDD Millwall0.88 / 0.92LWDWL

Why this prediction

  • Burnley attack index 0.95 meets Millwall defence index 0.92 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.26 expected goals.
  • Millwall attack index 0.88 meets Burnley defence index 0.80: 0.80 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Burnley.
  • Form over the last five: Burnley 7 points, Millwall 7 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
  • The simulation gives 34% for over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.