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Championship · Sun 25 Oct · 20:00 UTC

Sunderland v Watford

Final prediction

Sunderland win

49% confidence · likely score 1-0

49%

Sunderland

27%

Draw

25%

Watford

Kicks off at 20:00 UTC. The result will be graded in the record.

Other markets

Over 2.5 goals
43% · Under
Both teams to score
47% · No
Expected goals
1.45 – 0.96

Most likely scorelines

  • 1-013.0%
  • 1-112.5%
  • 2-09.5%
  • 2-19.1%
  • 0-09.0%
  • 0-18.6%

Team profile

TeamAtk / DefLast 5 Sunderland1.05 / 0.90DDLLL Watford0.95 / 1.05LDWDD

Why this prediction

  • Sunderland attack index 1.05 meets Watford defence index 1.05 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.45 expected goals.
  • Watford attack index 0.95 meets Sunderland defence index 0.90: 0.96 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Sunderland.
  • Form over the last five: Sunderland 2 points, Watford 6 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
  • The simulation gives 43% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.