PitchLedger
← Back to Sun 25 Oct

Championship · Sun 25 Oct · 20:45 UTC

Leeds United v Middlesbrough

Final prediction

Leeds United win

57% confidence · likely score 1-0

57%

Leeds United

23%

Draw

19%

Middlesbrough

Kicks off at 20:45 UTC. The result will be graded in the record.

Other markets

Over 2.5 goals
49% · Under
Both teams to score
49% · No
Expected goals
1.75 – 0.90

Most likely scorelines

  • 1-012.3%
  • 1-111.1%
  • 2-010.8%
  • 2-19.7%
  • 0-07.1%
  • 0-16.4%

Team profile

TeamAtk / DefLast 5 Leeds United1.20 / 0.85WWLWL Middlesbrough1.00 / 0.98LLLWL

Why this prediction

  • Leeds United attack index 1.20 meets Middlesbrough defence index 0.98 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.75 expected goals.
  • Middlesbrough attack index 1.00 meets Leeds United defence index 0.85: 0.90 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Leeds United.
  • Form over the last five: Leeds United 9 points, Middlesbrough 3 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
  • The simulation gives 49% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.