Eredivisie · Mon 26 Oct · 15:00 UTC
AZ Alkmaar v FC Twente
Final prediction
AZ Alkmaar win
46% confidence · likely score 1-1
46%
AZ Alkmaar
25%
Draw
28%
FC Twente
Kicks off at 15:00 UTC. The result will be graded in the record.
Other markets
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51% · Over
- Both teams to score
- 54% · Yes
- Expected goals
- 1.55 – 1.16
Most likely scorelines
- 1-112.0%
- 1-010.3%
- 2-19.3%
- 2-08.0%
- 0-17.7%
- 1-26.9%
Team profile
TeamAtk / DefLast 5
AZ Alkmaar1.10 / 0.92LWWWL
FC Twente1.05 / 0.95WWWDL
Why this prediction
- AZ Alkmaar attack index 1.10 meets FC Twente defence index 0.95 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.55 expected goals.
- FC Twente attack index 1.05 meets AZ Alkmaar defence index 0.92: 1.16 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for AZ Alkmaar.
- Form over the last five: AZ Alkmaar 9 points, FC Twente 10 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
- The simulation gives 51% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.