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Eredivisie · Mon 26 Oct · 15:00 UTC

Ajax v Feyenoord

Final prediction

Ajax win

39% confidence · likely score 1-1

39%

Ajax

25%

Draw

36%

Feyenoord

Kicks off at 15:00 UTC. The result will be graded in the record.

Other markets

Over 2.5 goals
54% · Over
Both teams to score
57% · Yes
Expected goals
1.45 – 1.38

Most likely scorelines

  • 1-111.8%
  • 2-18.6%
  • 1-08.6%
  • 1-28.1%
  • 0-18.1%
  • 2-06.2%

Team profile

TeamAtk / DefLast 5 Ajax1.25 / 0.90DLLLW Feyenoord1.30 / 0.85WWWLL

Why this prediction

  • Ajax attack index 1.25 meets Feyenoord defence index 0.85 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.45 expected goals.
  • Feyenoord attack index 1.30 meets Ajax defence index 0.90: 1.38 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Ajax.
  • Form over the last five: Ajax 4 points, Feyenoord 9 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
  • The simulation gives 54% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.