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Primeira Liga · Mon 26 Oct · 18:45 UTC

Moreirense v Vitória SC

Final prediction

Vitória SC win

39% confidence · likely score 1-1

33%

Moreirense

28%

Draw

39%

Vitória SC

Kicks off at 18:45 UTC. The result will be graded in the record.

Other markets

Over 2.5 goals
40% · Under
Both teams to score
46% · No
Expected goals
1.08 – 1.21

Most likely scorelines

  • 1-113.2%
  • 0-112.2%
  • 1-010.9%
  • 0-010.1%
  • 1-28.0%
  • 0-27.4%

Team profile

TeamAtk / DefLast 5 Moreirense0.85 / 1.10LLDDD Vitória SC0.98 / 0.95WLLWL

Why this prediction

  • Moreirense attack index 0.85 meets Vitória SC defence index 0.95 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.08 expected goals.
  • Vitória SC attack index 0.98 meets Moreirense defence index 1.10: 1.21 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Moreirense.
  • Form over the last five: Moreirense 3 points, Vitória SC 6 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
  • The simulation gives 40% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.