Championship · Mon 26 Oct · 15:00 UTC
Middlesbrough v Leeds United
Final prediction
Leeds United win
43% confidence · likely score 1-1
31%
Middlesbrough
27%
Draw
43%
Leeds United
Kicks off at 15:00 UTC. The result will be graded in the record.
Other markets
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46% · Under
- Both teams to score
- 51% · Yes
- Expected goals
- 1.14 – 1.39
Most likely scorelines
- 1-112.6%
- 0-111.1%
- 1-09.1%
- 1-28.8%
- 0-08.0%
- 0-27.7%
Team profile
TeamAtk / DefLast 5
Middlesbrough1.00 / 0.98LLLWL
Leeds United1.20 / 0.85WWLWL
Why this prediction
- Middlesbrough attack index 1.00 meets Leeds United defence index 0.85 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.14 expected goals.
- Leeds United attack index 1.20 meets Middlesbrough defence index 0.98: 1.39 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Middlesbrough.
- Form over the last five: Middlesbrough 3 points, Leeds United 9 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
- The simulation gives 46% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.