Premier League · Tue 27 Oct · 15:00 UTC
Chelsea v Brighton
Final prediction
Chelsea win
53% confidence · likely score 1-1
53%
Chelsea
24%
Draw
23%
Brighton
Kicks off at 15:00 UTC. The result will be graded in the record.
Other markets
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53% · Over
- Both teams to score
- 54% · Yes
- Expected goals
- 1.74 – 1.07
Most likely scorelines
- 1-111.2%
- 1-010.5%
- 2-19.7%
- 2-09.2%
- 0-16.5%
- 0-06.1%
Team profile
TeamAtk / DefLast 5
Chelsea1.15 / 0.95WLDLW
Brighton1.00 / 1.05DDDWL
Why this prediction
- Chelsea attack index 1.15 meets Brighton defence index 1.05 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.74 expected goals.
- Brighton attack index 1.00 meets Chelsea defence index 0.95: 1.07 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Chelsea.
- Form over the last five: Chelsea 7 points, Brighton 6 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
- The simulation gives 53% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.