Sun 25 Oct · board live

Every match, priced by the numbers.

Fresh predictions for eight leagues, from the Premier League and La Liga to the Eredivisie and Primeira Liga, rebuilt every day from team strength, recent form and a goal simulation. Each pick is logged and graded in public.

Today's predictions See the accuracy record

Result accuracy (1X2): 45%
Confident picks (55%+): 52%
Over/Under 2.5 accuracy: 55%
Matches graded: 411

The daily board

Sat 24 Oct Today Mon 26 Oct Tue 27 Oct

All leagues Premier League La Liga Serie A Bundesliga Ligue 1 Eredivisie Primeira Liga Championship

Highest confidence

#1 · 61%

Braga win

Braga v Moreirense · Primeira Liga

Likely score 1-0

#2 · 61%

Borussia Dortmund win

Borussia Dortmund v Wolfsburg · Bundesliga

Likely score 2-1

#3 · 60%

Paris Saint-Germain win

Paris Saint-Germain v Lille · Ligue 1

Likely score 1-0

Premier League

Premier League · 15:00 53% conf

Chelsea

Brighton

1 · 53%X · 24%2 · 23%

Pick Chelsea win 1-1 · O2.5 53%

Premier League · 15:00 40% conf

Aston Villa

Newcastle

1 · 40%X · 28%2 · 32%

Pick Aston Villa win 1-1 · O2.5 42%

Premier League · 20:45 40% conf

Tottenham

Liverpool

1 · 36%X · 25%2 · 40%

Pick Liverpool win 1-1 · O2.5 56%

La Liga

La Liga · 18:45 55% conf

Real Betis

Real Madrid

1 · 21%X · 24%2 · 55%

Pick Real Madrid win 0-1 · O2.5 51%

La Liga · 18:45 44% conf

Sevilla

Atlético Madrid

1 · 27%X · 29%2 · 44%

Pick Atlético Madrid win 0-1 · O2.5 37%

Serie A

Serie A · 15:00 54% conf

Inter

Atalanta

1 · 54%X · 23%2 · 23%

Pick Inter win 1-1 · O2.5 54%

Serie A · 18:45 49% conf

AC Milan

Lazio

1 · 49%X · 25%2 · 26%

Pick AC Milan win 1-1 · O2.5 50%

Serie A · 20:45 55% conf

Napoli

Roma

1 · 55%X · 25%2 · 20%

Pick Napoli win 1-0 · O2.5 44%

Bundesliga

Bundesliga · 12:30 42% conf

Eintracht Frankfurt

VfB Stuttgart

1 · 42%X · 24%2 · 34%

Pick Eintracht Frankfurt win 1-1 · O2.5 57%

Bundesliga · 18:45 38% conf

RB Leipzig

Bayern Munich

1 · 38%X · 24%2 · 38%

Pick RB Leipzig win 1-1 · O2.5 59%

Bundesliga · 18:45 61% conf

Borussia Dortmund

Wolfsburg

1 · 61%X · 21%2 · 19%

Pick Borussia Dortmund win 2-1 · O2.5 61%

Ligue 1

Ligue 1 · 15:00 38% conf

Rennes

Lyon

1 · 38%X · 26%2 · 37%

Pick Rennes win 1-1 · O2.5 52%

Ligue 1 · 15:00 60% conf

Paris Saint-Germain

Lille

1 · 60%X · 23%2 · 17%

Pick Paris Saint-Germain win 1-0 · O2.5 46%

Ligue 1 · 18:45 41% conf

Nice

Lens

1 · 41%X · 29%2 · 30%

Pick Nice win 1-0 · O2.5 37%

Eredivisie

Eredivisie · 15:00 37% conf

Utrecht

AZ Alkmaar

1 · 37%X · 26%2 · 37%

Pick Utrecht win 1-1 · O2.5 48%

Eredivisie · 18:45 57% conf

PSV Eindhoven

Ajax

1 · 57%X · 22%2 · 21%

Pick PSV Eindhoven win 1-1 · O2.5 57%

Eredivisie · 20:00 50% conf

Sparta Rotterdam

Feyenoord

1 · 25%X · 25%2 · 50%

Pick Feyenoord win 1-1 · O2.5 50%

Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga · 12:30 57% conf

Gil Vicente

Benfica

1 · 19%X · 24%2 · 57%

Pick Benfica win 0-1 · O2.5 46%

Primeira Liga · 15:00 58% conf

Famalicão

Sporting CP

1 · 19%X · 23%2 · 58%

Pick Sporting CP win 0-1 · O2.5 52%

Primeira Liga · 18:45 61% conf

Braga

Moreirense

1 · 61%X · 22%2 · 16%

Pick Braga win 1-0 · O2.5 49%

Championship

Championship · 12:30 42% conf

Millwall

Leeds United

1 · 31%X · 28%2 · 42%

Pick Leeds United win 1-1 · O2.5 42%

Championship · 17:30 39% conf

Middlesbrough

Sunderland

1 · 39%X · 28%2 · 33%

Pick Middlesbrough win 1-1 · O2.5 40%

Championship · 20:00 39% conf

Norwich City

Burnley

1 · 39%X · 27%2 · 34%

Pick Norwich City win 1-1 · O2.5 45%

From raw strength to a final call

01
Rate the teams
Attack and defence indices for every club in eight leagues.
02
Read the form
Last five results nudge each side's expected goals up or down.
03
Simulate the score
A Poisson model prices every scoreline from 0-0 to 7-7.
04
Publish and grade
Probabilities become a pick, then the result grades it, win or lose.

Read the full method

Tomorrow's board builds itself at midnight.

Come back each day for new analysis, then check the record to see how yesterday's calls landed.

Open the record