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Ligue 1 · Tue 27 Oct · 18:45 UTC

Nice v Lens

Final prediction

Nice win

41% confidence · likely score 1-0

41%

Nice

29%

Draw

30%

Lens

Kicks off at 18:45 UTC. The result will be graded in the record.

Other markets

Over 2.5 goals
37% · Under
Both teams to score
44% · No
Expected goals
1.19 – 0.99

Most likely scorelines

  • 1-013.5%
  • 1-113.3%
  • 0-011.4%
  • 0-111.2%
  • 2-08.0%
  • 2-17.9%

Team profile

TeamAtk / DefLast 5 Nice0.95 / 0.85DWDLL Lens1.00 / 0.90WDWDL

Why this prediction

  • Nice attack index 0.95 meets Lens defence index 0.90 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.19 expected goals.
  • Lens attack index 1.00 meets Nice defence index 0.85: 0.99 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Nice.
  • Form over the last five: Nice 5 points, Lens 8 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
  • The simulation gives 37% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.