Eredivisie · Tue 27 Oct · 18:45 UTC
PSV Eindhoven v Ajax
Final prediction
PSV Eindhoven win
57% confidence · likely score 1-1
57%
PSV Eindhoven
22%
Draw
21%
Ajax
Kicks off at 18:45 UTC. The result will be graded in the record.
Other markets
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57% · Over
- Both teams to score
- 56% · Yes
- Expected goals
- 1.91 – 1.06
Most likely scorelines
- 1-110.4%
- 2-19.9%
- 1-09.8%
- 2-09.4%
- 3-16.3%
- 3-06.0%
Team profile
TeamAtk / DefLast 5
PSV Eindhoven1.50 / 0.78WLWLL
Ajax1.25 / 0.90DLLLW
Why this prediction
- PSV Eindhoven attack index 1.50 meets Ajax defence index 0.90 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.91 expected goals.
- Ajax attack index 1.25 meets PSV Eindhoven defence index 0.78: 1.06 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for PSV Eindhoven.
- Form over the last five: PSV Eindhoven 6 points, Ajax 4 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
- The simulation gives 57% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.