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Ligue 1 · Tue 27 Oct · 15:00 UTC

Paris Saint-Germain v Lille

Final prediction

Paris Saint-Germain win

60% confidence · likely score 1-0

60%

Paris Saint-Germain

23%

Draw

17%

Lille

Kicks off at 15:00 UTC. The result will be graded in the record.

Other markets

Over 2.5 goals
46% · Under
Both teams to score
45% · No
Expected goals
1.74 – 0.80

Most likely scorelines

  • 1-013.8%
  • 2-012.0%
  • 1-111.0%
  • 2-19.5%
  • 0-07.9%
  • 3-06.9%

Team profile

TeamAtk / DefLast 5 Paris Saint-Germain1.50 / 0.70DLWDD Lille1.05 / 0.82LLLWD

Why this prediction

  • Paris Saint-Germain attack index 1.50 meets Lille defence index 0.82 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.74 expected goals.
  • Lille attack index 1.05 meets Paris Saint-Germain defence index 0.70: 0.80 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Paris Saint-Germain.
  • Form over the last five: Paris Saint-Germain 6 points, Lille 4 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
  • The simulation gives 46% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.