PitchLedger
← Back to Tue 27 Oct

Primeira Liga · Tue 27 Oct · 18:45 UTC

Braga v Moreirense

Final prediction

Braga win

61% confidence · likely score 1-0

61%

Braga

22%

Draw

16%

Moreirense

Kicks off at 18:45 UTC. The result will be graded in the record.

Other markets

Over 2.5 goals
49% · Under
Both teams to score
47% · No
Expected goals
1.82 – 0.81

Most likely scorelines

  • 1-013.1%
  • 2-011.9%
  • 1-110.6%
  • 2-19.7%
  • 3-07.2%
  • 0-07.2%

Team profile

TeamAtk / DefLast 5 Braga1.15 / 0.90LLDWW Moreirense0.85 / 1.10LLDDD

Why this prediction

  • Braga attack index 1.15 meets Moreirense defence index 1.10 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.82 expected goals.
  • Moreirense attack index 0.85 meets Braga defence index 0.90: 0.81 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Braga.
  • Form over the last five: Braga 7 points, Moreirense 3 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
  • The simulation gives 49% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.