PitchLedger
← Back to Tue 27 Oct

Bundesliga · Tue 27 Oct · 18:45 UTC

Borussia Dortmund v Wolfsburg

Final prediction

Borussia Dortmund win

61% confidence · likely score 2-1

61%

Borussia Dortmund

21%

Draw

19%

Wolfsburg

Kicks off at 18:45 UTC. The result will be graded in the record.

Other markets

Over 2.5 goals
61% · Over
Both teams to score
57% · Yes
Expected goals
2.09 – 1.07

Most likely scorelines

  • 2-19.9%
  • 1-19.5%
  • 2-09.3%
  • 1-08.9%
  • 3-16.9%
  • 3-06.5%

Team profile

TeamAtk / DefLast 5 Borussia Dortmund1.30 / 1.00DWDWD Wolfsburg0.95 / 1.08LDWDD

Why this prediction

  • Borussia Dortmund attack index 1.30 meets Wolfsburg defence index 1.08 (higher means more goals conceded): 2.09 expected goals.
  • Wolfsburg attack index 0.95 meets Borussia Dortmund defence index 1.00: 1.07 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Borussia Dortmund.
  • Form over the last five: Borussia Dortmund 9 points, Wolfsburg 6 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
  • The simulation gives 61% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.